Sunday, May 15, 2011

Preakness Ramblings

Entries will be drawn on Wednesday. With a full field of 14 horses expected, the dreaded 13 and 14 posts could prove not kind to the horses who draw them.

More speed is expected in the Preakness. Flashpoint and Dance City will ensure an honest pace and Shackleford will have to rate off the speed, or improve his half mile fraction significantly.

Animal Kingdom will train up to the Preakness with no published works. Graham Motion has trained this way for many years. But still feel it's not the best of signs to "gallop" to the race with no timed works.

Sway Away has been working strongly, his mid race move in the Arkansas Derby was impressive.

Bob Baffert has decided to enter Midnight Interlude, who did not run a bad Derby, and don't forget this horse also has more speed than he showed in Louisville, interesting horse at a nice price.

Astrology, has been overlooked, does not have the raw speed of some of the top horses, but the Derby was not won with speed either. A strong grinder and fresh, Astrology has the pedigree and running style to put in a good run.

Animal Kingdom received a 103 Beyer speed Figure for his Derby Victory. I think this number is a little inflated it may be more of a "98" which puts him just slightly ahead. His pedigree and improvement still points that he should be sitting on a big race in Baltimore.

Mucho Macho Man fires his race every time and should get first run on the speed. A good post and well timed move may have him right in the mix come the turn.

With slow fractions in the Derby there was not a lot of separation in the field, the fact that Santiva, Master of Hounds, Mucho Macho Man, and Animal Kingdom all closed showed that the race came down down to trip and getting the distance.

The best bet on the Card may be the double starting with the Preaknes. In the Derby 20-1 Animal Kingdom with 8-1 Good Lord payed $790. the Daily Double with Get Storm in a 13 horses at 7-1 with Animal Kingdom, paid $350.00.

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