Chaos has ruled the Road to the Roses for 2011. With that in mind i'm leaning for the best bred horses to get the distance. All signs point to Animal Kingdom to emerge from the pack and strut some serious strides down the long Churchill Downs Stretch. Animal Kingdom has three generations of German Mares in his first six generations on the female side. The Broodmare sire Acatenango won 16 of 24 races and was three time German horse of the year. Blushing Groom, Nasrullah, Roberto and Northern Dancer all trace in the bloodlines. Racing wise this horse has shown talent in all four races. In his first race on the synthetic at Arlington Park, he was "outkicked" by Wilcox Inn. In his second start at Keeneland he wired a nine furlong race at 3/5. Five other races that day were won by closers, winning on the "poly" at Keeneland at nine furlongs and showed has has speed to contend. In his last race at Turfway park he made one long sustained run and won going going away. He is slower than some of these horses. I just think he will make one long sustained run and is very live in this spot. Half the field wants no part of 10 furlongs today.
Mucho Macho Man. Been trained old school fro this race with long gallops and two seven furlong works. Ran two nine furlong races as a juvenile.
Archarcharch: Goofy name is a in shape has been in training since December and has thrived the last two months. Another who should run all day.
Boxing those three horses with Shackleford who has been improving and will be sent hard. Shack may fade but may also be able to rate a little behind the speed. Fifth horse in the box is Santiva. Should sit a ground saving trip and goes poly to dirt. Throw out the last race.
Playing all five in Double and in pick threes.
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